Clik here to view.
Big Question #2: Capital and Long-Run Growth
One forecasting challenge is we do not know what the 11th or 12th year of an economic expansion looks like. We’ve never been here before. Our baseline forecast calls for ongoing, but slowing growth as...
View ArticleClik here to view.
COVID-19 Regional Outlook
Last week our office released the latest economic and revenue forecast for the state. The outlook isn’t pretty as we face years of high unemployment and reduced revenues for public services. Included...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Checking in on Oregon’s Regions, July 2020
This morning the Oregon Employment Department released county level data for July 2020. I thought it might be useful to take a quick look at how the initial stages of recovery are shaping up across the...
View ArticleClik here to view.
The Urban-Rural Divide has Shrunk in 2020
Strong economies work wonders but they do not cure all ills. Disparities and inequities lessen during good economic times, but tend to widen during recessions. Our office is particularly focused on...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Oregon Construction Outlook, Dec 2020
Typically, construction is a more volatile sector than the overall economy. It falls further in recessions, but bounces back stronger in expansion. New residential construction historically has been a...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Priced Out Oregon Households
The housing market has been overheated during the pandemic. Between strong household finances and demographics, demand has outstripped supply. The result is both for rent vacancies and for sale...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Thankful, 2022 Edition
It’s been a challenging couple of years. At the surface level, particularly for economic data most things are back to normal, even if there are clearly some lingering impacts on society and our daily...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Oregon Homeownership Affordability, November 2022
Just a few charts for your Friday. Affordability is important because housing is a big part of household budgets, can impact migration trends, and construction activity that is part of broader...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Oregon’s Regional Income Distributions
The impact of the pandemic and economic recovery to date on regional economies within Oregon is the exact opposite of the fallout from the Great Recession and expansion last decade. Back then it was...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Oregon Progress and Poverty, 2022 Edition
The 2022 American Community Survey is our first real, post-pandemic look at the socio-economic characteristics of Oregonians. Last week we dug into the details of who moved away from Oregon. This week...
View Article